Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2388
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
QX 2388 · SEA → RDM
departs 7:47 PM PT · arrives 8:59 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Thu 10/29 17%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 23%
Mon 11/2 22%
Tue 11/3 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDM more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at RDM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDM?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
QX's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDM
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
RDM (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.