Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2445
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
QX 2445 · PDX → EAT
departs 11:06 AM PT · arrives 12:12 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Wed 10/28 10%
Thu 10/29 8%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 11%
Sun 11/1 11%
Mon 11/2 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at EAT more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at EAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EAT?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from PDX are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Arrivals into EAT at that hour are usually not late
↓
EAT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PDX (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
EAT (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.