Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3091 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

SY 3091 · CVG → MCI

departs 3:20 PM ET · arrives 4:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from CVG are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility5 mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3091 · CVG → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?