Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 8015 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

SY 8015 · RAP → IFP

departs 8:29 AM MT · arrives 10:03 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 58h before departure

Arrive at IFP more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IFP?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ RAP is prone to delays

↑ 8am departures from RAP are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RAP

↓ Arrivals into IFP at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

RAP (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IFP (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 8015 · RAP → IFP

Odds over time

How late will it get to IFP?