tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 8715 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

SY 8715 · PVD → PHL

departs 3:59 PM ET · arrives 5:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 100h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Friday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
40% chance · ±44 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    11%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.