Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA EL SALVADOR · FLIGHT TA 441 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

TA 441 · DFW → SAL

departs 1:54 PM CT · arrives 4:18 PM CST

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 65h before departure

Arrive at SAL more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAL?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ SAL usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into SAL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TA 441 · DFW → SAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAL?