UA 1049 · ORD → LAS

departs 7:19 AM CT · arrives 9:17 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling9,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1049 · ORD → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?