Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1084 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

UA 1084 · LAX → IAH

departs 1:11 PM PT · arrives 6:44 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

IAH (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1084 · LAX → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?