UA 1122 · EWR → CPT

departs 9:39 PM ET · arrives 6:22 PM SAST

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at CPT more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±8 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CPT?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Arrivals into CPT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CPT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1122 · EWR → CPT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CPT?