Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1182 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

UA 1182 · CMH → ORD

departs 5:59 PM ET · arrives 6:35 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±5 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 54% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1182 · CMH → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?