Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1196SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1196 · CUN → ORD
departs 12:06 PM EST · arrives 4:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
28%chance · ±3 pts+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.