UA 1230 · SFO → DEN

left the gate 2:22 PM PT · taxiing (scheduled 2:25 PM PT → 6:05 PM MT)

Your aircraft is N14527 (A21N), coming in as UA 1561 from DEN: landed 12:53 PM PT.

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1230 · SFO → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?