Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1303 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

UA 1303 · DEN → EUG

departs 7:35 PM MT · arrives 9:21 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EUG?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EUG (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1303 · DEN → EUG

Odds over time

How late will it get to EUG?