tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1400 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1400 · MSN → ORD

departs 2:42 PM CT · arrives 3:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    75%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.