tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1519 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

UA 1519 · ORD → SMF

departs 4:28 PM CT · arrives 7:01 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±6 pts +10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SMF?

  1. On time or early
    66%
  2. 15–30 min late
    14%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.