tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1796 IN THE AIR (OFF 6:04 AM ET, ETA 7:05 AM ET)
Today

UA 1796 · RDU → EWR

took off 6:04 AM ET · expected to land 7:05 AM ET (scheduled 5:55 AM ET → 7:34 AM ET)
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 1h before departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
<1% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 24h 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    100%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.