tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1842 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1842 · PHX → ORD

departs 1:14 PM MT · arrives 6:48 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
47% chance · ±6 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.7d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    52%
  2. 15–30 min late
    24%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.