Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1899 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

UA 1899 · DEN → AUS

departs 3:35 PM MT · arrives 6:48 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±5 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 467 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling467 ft Visibility4.66667 mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1899 · DEN → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?