Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1942 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

UA 1942 · DEN → AUS

departs 5:44 PM MT · arrives 9:02 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±5 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility6.33333 mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1942 · DEN → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?