UA 1970 · CLE → SFO

took off 7:15 PM ET · expected to land 9:17 PM PT (scheduled 7:05 PM ET → 9:37 PM PT)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SFO?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

Weather at each end

CLE (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1970 · CLE → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?