UA 2192 · EWR → DFW

departs 8:45 PM ET · arrives 11:33 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 8pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2192 · EWR → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?