UA 2217 · EWR → FLL

departs 8:27 PM ET · arrives 11:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 8pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2217 · EWR → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?