UA 2395 · DEN → SAN

departs 9:00 PM MT · arrives 10:36 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 9pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2395 · DEN → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?