Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2476 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

UA 2476 · DEN → CLE

departs 1:55 PM MT · arrives 6:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2476 · DEN → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?