Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Friday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2486
SCHEDULED
Tomorrow
UA 2486 · SAN → ORD
departs 4:41 PM PT · arrives 10:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to ORD?
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On time or early
66%
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15–30 min late
14%
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30 min–1 hour late
6%
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1–2 hours late
10%
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Over 2 hours late
3%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.