Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 3767 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Yesterday

UA 3767 · IAD → TUL

departs 9:04 PM ET · arrives 11:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from IAD are often late

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at IAD that day

↓ TUL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility5 mi Precipnone

TUL (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 3767 · IAD → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?