Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 384 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

UA 384 · DEN → HNL

departs 12:00 PM MT · arrives 3:13 PM HT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 384 · DEN → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?