tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 3916 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

UA 3916 · ORD → MCO

departs 10:15 PM CT · arrives 2:08 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
37% chance · ±2 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 7.0d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MCO?

  1. On time or early
    63%
  2. 15–30 min late
    17%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.