tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 474 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 474 · MEX → ORD

departs 2:13 PM CST · arrives 7:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
42% chance · ±1 pts +11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    26%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.