Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 560 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

UA 560 · EWR → PDX

departs 6:43 PM ET · arrives 9:46 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±6 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 6pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 560 · EWR → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?