UA 592 · BOS → EWR

took off 6:55 PM ET · landed 7:50 PM ET (scheduled 6:01 PM ET → 7:31 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts +25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to EWR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 592 · BOS → EWR

Odds over time

How late did it get to EWR?