UA 679 · LAX → LAS

departs 7:07 PM PT · arrives 8:29 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±7 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

LAS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 679 · LAX → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?