UA 720 · LAS → DEN

departs 3:07 PM PT · arrives 6:03 PM MT

Your aircraft is N76519 (B738).

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

DEN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 720 · LAS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?