UA 793 · EWR → PDX

took off 7:02 PM ET · expected to land 9:46 PM PT (scheduled 6:36 PM ET → 9:49 PM PT)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PDX?

LIVE

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 6pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at PDX that day

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts34 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.46 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 793 · EWR → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?