Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 8112 LANDED 9:42 PM PT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 30 Yesterday

UA 8112 · IAH → ONT

took off 8:40 PM CT · landed 9:42 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,686 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

ONT (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 8112 · IAH → ONT

Odds over time