Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 8114 IN THE AIR (OFF 12:44 AM PT, ETA 7:41 AM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 30 Today

UA 8114 · SFO → DTW

took off 12:44 AM PT · expected to land 7:41 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 8114 · SFO → DTW

Odds over time