Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 8118 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

UA 8118 · DEN → PNS

departs 11:28 AM MT · arrives 3:27 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PNS?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PNS

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PNS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 8118 · DEN → PNS

Odds over time

How late will it get to PNS?