Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 8130 LANDED 6:46 PM CT, ~29 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 30 Today

UA 8130 · CLE → ORD

took off 6:43 PM ET · landed 6:46 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLE (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 8130 · CLE → ORD

Odds over time