UA 912 · ORD → KEF

departs 10:58 PM CT · arrives 10:08 AM GMT

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at KEF more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to KEF?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at KEF

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

KEF (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 912 · ORD → KEF

Odds over time

How late will it get to KEF?