Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

VIRGIN ATLANTIC · FLIGHT VS 106 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

VS 106 · SEA → LHR

departs 5:39 PM PT · arrives 10:06 AM GMT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 69h before departure

Arrive at LHR more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LHR?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SEA that day

↓ VS's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.04 in

LHR (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

VS 106 · SEA → LHR

Odds over time

How late will it get to LHR?