Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1030
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 1030 · BOS → MCI
departs 2:39 PM ET · arrives 5:01 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCI at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.