Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1162
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 1162 · LAX → SFO
departs 2:00 PM PT · arrives 3:26 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 56%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±7 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 45% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.