WN 1170 · OAK → LGB

departs 2:27 PM PT · arrives 4:02 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGB?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from OAK are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK

↓ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

Weather at each end

OAK (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGB (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1170 · OAK → LGB

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGB?