WN 1222 · LAX → LAS

departs 3:07 PM PT · arrives 4:25 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

83% chance · ±0 pts +22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
17%
15–30 min late
40%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
27%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from LAX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1222 · LAX → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?