WN 1261 · MDW → CMH

departs 4:16 PM CT · arrives 6:36 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from MDW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1261 · MDW → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?