Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 126
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
WN 126 · TUL → HOU
departs 1:30 PM CT · arrives 3:13 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 24%
Wed 11/4 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↓
1pm departures from TUL are usually not late
Weather at each end
TUL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.