Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1339
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 1339 · PVD → TPA
departs 3:54 PM ET · arrives 7:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 27%
Wed 11/4 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PVD
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
Weather at each end
PVD (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.