WN 1395 · DAL → MAF

departs 4:29 PM CT · arrives 5:54 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MAF?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 32 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at MAF that day

↑ 4pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↓ DAL is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

MAF (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.55 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1395 · DAL → MAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to MAF?