Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1401
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
WN 1401 · DAL → MCI
departs 4:03 PM CT · arrives 5:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±4 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.