Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1414 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

WN 1414 · DAL → MDW

departs 3:13 PM CT · arrives 5:37 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling10,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1414 · DAL → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?